Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-5
Deportivo Aragón vs Real Burgos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
HOS
1 - 3
ZAR
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
ZAR
3 - 1
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
GIM
0 - 1
ZAR
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CON
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
ARN
3 - 0
ZAR
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Real Burgos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
RAY
2 - 1
RBU
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
RBU
1 - 1
DEP
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
GRA
0 - 1
RBU
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
RBU
1 - 0
HER
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
XER
2 - 0
RBU
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |