Deportivo Aragón vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAB
1 - 0
ZAR
9%
19%
72%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CFV
89%
8%
3%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 3
ZAR
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ZAR
3 - 1
UFC
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AND
0 - 0
ZAR
32%
27%
42%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ICF
1 - 0
EJE
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CUA
1 - 3
ICF
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ICF
1 - 1
CDC
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SDB
0 - 2
ICF
55%
24%
21%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ICF
2 - 1
BIN
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |