Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 3-4
Deportivo Aragón vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
ZAR
3 - 3
HUE
53%
24%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
BAR
4 - 1
ZAR
43%
26%
31%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
ZAR
1 - 0
BIN
81%
12%
6%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1969 |
GIM
2 - 0
ZAR
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
TOL
2 - 0
ZAR
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
LLE
0 - 2
GIM
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
CFL
0 - 0
GIM
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
GIM
2 - 1
FIG
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
GRA
3 - 2
GIM
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1969 |
GIM
2 - 0
ZAR
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |