Deportivo Aragón vs Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
TAR
3 - 2
ZAR
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
ZAR
14%
21%
66%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
ZAR
2 - 0
BEL
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CFA
2 - 3
ZAR
18%
23%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ZAR
1 - 1
TER
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 3
EJE
26%
25%
50%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 2
CUA
42%
25%
34%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
CDC
2 - 1
FRA
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 1
SDB
36%
28%
37%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BIN
2 - 0
FRA
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |