Deportivo Aragón vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
LOG
0 - 1
ZAR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
ZAR
1 - 1
GRA
47%
27%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
RSO
1 - 2
ZAR
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
ZAR
0 - 1
FIG
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ZAR
3 - 1
HUE
63%
22%
14%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2002 |
ALF
2 - 0
RUN
32%
28%
40%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
HOS
7 - 0
ALF
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2002 |
ALF
1 - 1
RCD
27%
28%
44%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
ALF
2 - 0
SAB
22%
26%
53%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +5 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
FCB
2 - 0
ALF
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | -1 |