Deportivo Aragón vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
ALC
2 - 0
ZAR
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CDO
58%
26%
17%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ALB
47%
29%
25%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
GRA
3 - 1
ZAR
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
ZAR
0 - 1
CCF
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
POL
0 - 2
AGD
38%
32%
30%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
AGD
2 - 3
ALC
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
AGD
1 - 0
CDO
59%
25%
16%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
ALB
1 - 1
AGD
62%
24%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
AGD
0 - 1
GRA
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |