Real Valladolid Promesas vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
VAL
50%
27%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CUL
1 - 0
VAL
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 3
RUN
25%
28%
47%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 1
VAL
56%
26%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 1
ATH
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 0
LUG
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 5
LUG
28%
29%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
LUG
2 - 2
SPB
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
RAC
1 - 0
LUG
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |