Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 9-3
Real Unión Club vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1922 |
RMA
2 - 1
RUN
89%
7%
3%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1922 |
FDV
0 - 5
RUN
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1922 |
RUN
4 - 0
FDV
88%
8%
4%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1921 |
ATM
5 - 2
RUN
88%
8%
4%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1921 |
RUN
1 - 2
ATM
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1922 |
RMA
2 - 1
RUN
89%
7%
3%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1922 |
RMA
3 - 0
ARE
87%
9%
4%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1922 |
RMA
1 - 1
ARE
88%
9%
4%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1922 |
RMA
1 - 1
ARE
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1922 |
RMA
5 - 2
ARE
87%
9%
4%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |