Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 7-3
Real Unión Club vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
RUN
1 - 1
SDA
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 1
RUN
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
PEÑ
3 - 3
RUN
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
TUD
2 - 2
RUN
30%
29%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
RUN
1 - 0
ATH
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
BUR
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
HUA
2 - 1
PEÑ
7%
16%
78%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
PEÑ
3 - 3
RUN
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
PAM
0 - 2
PEÑ
11%
18%
71%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CDA
92%
6%
2%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |