Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-9
Real Unión Club vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
RUN
2 - 0
DEP
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
VAD
2 - 2
RUN
53%
20%
27%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
RUN
1 - 3
OSA
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ARE
3 - 0
RUN
59%
19%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
RUN
5 - 1
AVI
72%
14%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 5
OSA
37%
24%
39%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1941 |
OSA
2 - 0
ARE
79%
13%
9%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
OSA
3 - 1
SPO
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
RUN
1 - 3
OSA
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
OSA
0 - 4
DEP
64%
19%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |