Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 7-0
Real Unión Club vs Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RUN
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
FRA
0 - 4
RUN
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RUN
2 - 0
HOS
31%
29%
40%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
SAB
2 - 0
RUN
43%
28%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
RUN
3 - 2
FCB
29%
27%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
FRA
4 - 0
LAA
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
FRA
0 - 4
RUN
36%
29%
35%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
FRA
3 - 0
LAA
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
LAL
1 - 0
FRA
17%
26%
57%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
FRA
7 - 1
ALC
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |