Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-2
Real Unión Club vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.3%
11.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
ATH
1 - 2
RUN
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
RUN
4 - 3
RAC
51%
18%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
FCB
5 - 3
RUN
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
RUN
4 - 1
ALA
69%
15%
15%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
ESP
4 - 2
RUN
66%
18%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
GIJ
1 - 1
CEL
28%
23%
49%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
CEL
6 - 0
NAM
88%
8%
4%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1931 |
VAD
1 - 1
CEL
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
CEL
3 - 1
RCF
85%
10%
6%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
RCM
1 - 1
CEL
35%
23%
42%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |