Copa Federacion Final
Global 4-0
Real Unión Club vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
UDS
1 - 0
RUN
30%
29%
42%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
RUN
12%
22%
67%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
RUN
1 - 0
LEI
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 3
RUN
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
RUN
2 - 0
SDA
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NUC
0 - 2
CAS
27%
27%
46%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
RUN
12%
22%
67%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
CRE
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAS
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
5 - 1
JOV
70%
20%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |