Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-5
Real Unión Club vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
53.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
RUN
2 - 1
SAL
71%
22%
7%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
ZAM
1 - 4
RUN
42%
32%
26%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
RUN
4 - 0
GDE
41%
33%
26%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
RMC
1 - 0
RUN
66%
22%
11%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
BUR
4 - 2
RUN
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
BUR
1 - 0
DEP
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
PUE
2 - 2
BUR
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
BUR
1 - 1
VAD
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
MUR
2 - 0
BUR
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
BUR
4 - 2
RUN
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |