Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-4
Real Unión Club vs Balmaseda FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
RUN
0 - 2
OVI
42%
30%
28%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
PEG
0 - 0
RUN
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
BFC
2 - 0
RUN
22%
23%
56%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
RUN
3 - 1
CDO
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PON
3 - 3
RUN
60%
25%
15%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Balmaseda FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
BFC
2 - 0
CHA
51%
27%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
BFC
52%
29%
19%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
BFC
2 - 0
RUN
22%
23%
56%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BFC
0 - 0
GER
48%
28%
24%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
BFC
0 - 0
AUR
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |