Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-7
Real Unión Club vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
ALA
1 - 0
RUN
41%
22%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
ESP
3 - 1
RUN
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1932 |
RUN
1 - 1
RMA
43%
22%
35%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
ARE
5 - 0
RUN
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
RUN
2 - 0
RSO
53%
21%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
RAC
2 - 0
ATH
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
ARE
2 - 1
ATH
39%
23%
38%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1932 |
ATH
4 - 0
ESP
76%
13%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
RSO
3 - 2
ATH
44%
23%
34%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
ATH
7 - 2
VCF
80%
12%
8%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |