Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-7
Real Unión Club vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
CAS
0 - 2
RUN
35%
23%
43%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
RUN
0 - 1
CAS
81%
11%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
RUN
4 - 1
RCM
83%
10%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
RCM
0 - 3
RUN
29%
23%
48%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
RUN
3 - 4
EUR
70%
15%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
RSO
1 - 1
ATH
43%
23%
34%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
ATH
4 - 1
RSO
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
ATH
5 - 1
RAC
78%
13%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
RAC
3 - 0
ATH
33%
23%
44%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
RAC
2 - 3
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |