Real Unión Club vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SES
1 - 1
RUN
16%
25%
59%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RUN
3 - 1
CFP
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SDA
4 - 1
RUN
29%
28%
44%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
RUN
2 - 0
SEG
74%
18%
8%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ZAM
3 - 1
RUN
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ATH
4 - 1
RSO
51%
27%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
OSA
1 - 1
ATH
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ATH
1 - 0
GIM
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MIR
2 - 0
ATH
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ATH
1 - 1
PON
25%
30%
45%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |