Real Tomayapo vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
13º
3º
28
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 45 |
1º
|
71% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 42 |
2º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 35 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 32 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 31 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 31 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 31 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 24 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 19 |
16º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
1.5% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 73% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Tomayapo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ROY
0 - 2
DRT
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
DRT
3 - 2
IND
40%
26%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
JWI
2 - 1
DRT
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
DRT
2 - 1
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ABB
1 - 1
DRT
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
STR
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SAC
1 - 2
STR
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
STR
5 - 0
IND
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
REA
0 - 0
STR
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
AUR
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |