Real Tomayapo vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
6º
15º
7º
46
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Tomayapo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
DRT
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
DRT
1 - 1
BLO
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
DRT
1 - 0
JWI
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UDV
1 - 1
DRT
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
DRT
0 - 3
REA
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
SAC
2 - 1
CMV
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
STR
5 - 2
SAC
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 0
REA
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 2
SAC
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAC
2 - 1
NAC
23%
25%
53%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |