Real Succes vs Olimp Comrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
52.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
REA
3 - 2
FCS
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
REA
1 - 3
UNG
42%
22%
37%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
STA
1 - 3
REA
30%
21%
49%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 0
REA
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
REA
0 - 0
FCS
20%
19%
61%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Olimp Comrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
FCV
3 - 2
FCO
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FCO
1 - 2
ISK
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
CON
0 - 6
FCO
9%
14%
77%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FST
1 - 2
FCO
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
FCO
2 - 2
CAH
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |