Real Sporting C vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
REA
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AND
2 - 1
REA
26%
24%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
REA
0 - 0
FRE
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
AST
1 - 1
REA
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
REA
4 - 0
ROC
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
COM
3 - 0
AST
65%
19%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
ATL
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
COM
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
NAV
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
MUR
42%
22%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |