Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-1
Sporting Atlético vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
SPB
0 - 0
LEN
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
SPB
5 - 0
ATL
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
PCF
0 - 2
SPB
27%
26%
47%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
ATL
2 - 3
SPB
14%
23%
64%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
SPB
0 - 0
MOS
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
LEM
3 - 1
AVI
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
AVI
1 - 2
SIE
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
PIL
1 - 0
AVI
16%
26%
58%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
AVI
1 - 1
ATL
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
ATL
0 - 4
AVI
15%
25%
60%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | +1 |