Sporting Atlético vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
SPB
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SPB
1 - 3
SLA
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 0
SPB
42%
27%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SPB
0 - 0
SSR
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FUE
4 - 2
SPB
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
RVB
2 - 2
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
COX
2 - 0
RVB
32%
29%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
RVB
3 - 0
CDG
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
RVB
2 - 1
GET
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CDT
2 - 0
RVB
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |