Sporting Atlético vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
PON
2 - 3
SPB
56%
24%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SPB
0 - 2
AUR
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 0
SPB
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
SPB
1 - 1
ALA
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ATH
0 - 1
SPB
55%
25%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
CAU
50%
28%
22%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
PON
27%
29%
44%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
GER
39%
29%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
CEL
44%
30%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ALA
2 - 1
GER
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |