Tercera Playoffs Final
Global 7-4
Sporting Atlético vs Beasain KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
BEA
2 - 2
SPB
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 0
ALM
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 0
SPB
27%
25%
47%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
OLO
1 - 1
SPB
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SPB
0 - 1
OLO
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Beasain KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
BEA
2 - 2
SPB
24%
26%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
CPC
2 - 1
BEA
56%
25%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BEA
1 - 0
CPC
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
LFC
2 - 0
BEA
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
BEA
5 - 0
LFC
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |