Sporting Atlético vs Avilés Stadium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
8º
2º
21
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
SPB
8%
19%
73%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 1
COL
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SPB
4 - 0
LUA
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 2
SPB
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 1
TUI
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Avilés Stadium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 2
AVI
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AVI
2 - 1
VAL
60%
24%
16%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AVI
2 - 1
COL
15%
23%
62%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LUA
3 - 2
AVI
54%
23%
23%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 1
UDL
8%
18%
73%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | +1 |