Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 1-3
Sporting Atlético vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SPB
2 - 2
AST
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 1
SPB
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SPB
1 - 1
UPL
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LEA
1 - 0
SPB
18%
23%
58%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SPB
2 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SPB
2 - 2
AST
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AST
0 - 1
OVI
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SOM
2 - 1
AST
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AST
4 - 1
COM
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +4 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 1
AST
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |