Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-3
Real Sociedad vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
RSO
4 - 0
SEV
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
SLA
0 - 0
RSO
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
RSO
4 - 1
UDL
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
HER
1 - 0
RSO
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
ACE
1 - 0
RSO
19%
24%
58%
|
79 | 36 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
VIN
1 - 2
XER
68%
21%
12%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
XER
3 - 1
MLL
56%
26%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
POR
1 - 0
XER
53%
28%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
XER
0 - 0
CDB
70%
19%
10%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
XER
2 - 1
ALG
65%
23%
12%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |