Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 8-4
Real Sociedad vs Vigo Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1923 |
RVS
3 - 1
RSO
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 28 | 50 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1919 |
RSO
1 - 3
FCB
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1919 |
FCB
6 - 0
RSO
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1913 |
FCB
2 - 1
RSO
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1913 |
FCB
0 - 0
RSO
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vigo Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1923 |
RVS
3 - 1
RSO
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 78 | 50 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1920 |
RVS
0 - 1
ATH
14%
21%
65%
|
28 | 84 | 56 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1920 |
ATH
2 - 1
RVS
91%
6%
2%
|
28 | 84 | 56 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1920 |
RVS
4 - 1
SPO
14%
20%
66%
|
26 | 71 | 45 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1920 |
SPO
0 - 0
RVS
90%
7%
3%
|
25 | 71 | 46 | +1 |