Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-3
Real Sociedad vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.7%
12.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
CEL
0 - 1
RSO
67%
16%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
RSO
1 - 0
MAL
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
RSO
2 - 0
BAR
85%
9%
6%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ATM
5 - 3
RSO
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
RSO
1 - 1
VCF
43%
22%
35%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
VAD
1 - 4
RMA
34%
23%
43%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
VCF
4 - 1
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
GIM
4 - 1
VAD
57%
19%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
VAD
2 - 2
OVI
52%
21%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
ATH
3 - 2
VAD
77%
13%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |