Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-7
Real Sociedad vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
41.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
RSO
78%
13%
10%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 0
RSO
25%
21%
55%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
RSO
3 - 0
RAC
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1940 |
RSO
2 - 3
LEV
70%
16%
15%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
CAD
5 - 0
RSO
48%
21%
31%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
RSO
78%
13%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
UES
1 - 3
VCF
21%
20%
59%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
VCF
8 - 2
UES
85%
10%
5%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
ATM
2 - 0
VCF
58%
19%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 4
ATH
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |