Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 9-3
Real Sociedad vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1928 |
RSO
3 - 0
CEL
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
CEL
2 - 1
RSO
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
ISC
1 - 3
RSO
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
RSO
4 - 2
EUR
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
RUN
3 - 1
RSO
52%
21%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1928 |
VCF
2 - 1
RMA
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
RMA
2 - 2
VCF
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
SEV
7 - 2
VCF
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
BET
0 - 1
VCF
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
VCF
4 - 2
LEV
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |