Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-1
Real Sociedad vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
6.6%
2.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
RSO
2 - 1
ATH
51%
24%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
UDL
2 - 0
RSO
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
LLE
0 - 1
RSO
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
RSO
2 - 0
FCB
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
RMA
2 - 1
RSO
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
LLE
2 - 2
CPC
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
UES
1 - 0
LLE
55%
27%
19%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
LLE
0 - 1
RSO
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
LLE
2 - 2
AGD
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
PUE
3 - 1
LLE
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |