Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-1
Real Sociedad vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1954 |
UDL
0 - 0
RSO
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
RSO
3 - 2
SEV
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
DEP
3 - 0
RSO
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
RSO
1 - 0
OVI
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
RAC
4 - 2
RSO
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1954 |
UDL
0 - 0
RSO
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
CDT
0 - 0
UDL
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
UDL
7 - 0
CAS
69%
18%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
MLL
0 - 2
UDL
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1954 |
VAL
1 - 1
UDL
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |