Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-6
Real Sociedad vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.5%
10.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
ARE
6 - 0
RSO
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
RSO
8 - 0
RAC
59%
19%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
VCF
2 - 2
RSO
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
ATH
1 - 2
RSO
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1933 |
ALA
1 - 0
RSO
32%
22%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
SPO
0 - 1
ATM
56%
19%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 1
SPO
36%
23%
41%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
SPO
3 - 1
CEL
63%
19%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
RUN
3 - 1
SPO
67%
16%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
OSA
3 - 2
SPO
48%
21%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |