Real Sociedad vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1936 |
BAR
5 - 0
RSO
50%
21%
29%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
RUN
2 - 1
RSO
50%
21%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
RSO
2 - 1
BAR
73%
15%
13%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
SDE
2 - 1
RSO
24%
22%
55%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
RSO
3 - 0
RUN
72%
15%
14%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1936 |
RUN
1 - 1
SDE
83%
11%
7%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
SDE
2 - 0
BAR
29%
23%
49%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
SDE
2 - 1
RUN
26%
22%
52%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
SDE
2 - 1
RSO
24%
22%
55%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
BAR
4 - 1
SDE
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |