Real Sociedad vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
RSO
4 - 0
ALC
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
MLL
2 - 1
RSO
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
RSO
0 - 0
HER
66%
17%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
RAC
5 - 3
RSO
49%
21%
30%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1945 |
RSO
2 - 1
GRA
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
SDC
0 - 2
BET
49%
21%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
ALC
7 - 0
SDC
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
SDC
3 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
MLL
2 - 3
SDC
52%
22%
26%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
SDC
2 - 1
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |