Real Sociedad vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
6.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1940 |
RSO
4 - 4
VCF
37%
21%
41%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
RSO
78%
13%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 0
RSO
25%
21%
55%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
RSO
3 - 0
RAC
88%
8%
4%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1940 |
RSO
2 - 3
LEV
70%
16%
15%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
SPO
2 - 4
AVI
78%
13%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
AVI
6 - 2
VAD
40%
22%
38%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +4 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
RCF
5 - 0
AVI
72%
15%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
AVI
0 - 0
SLA
35%
22%
43%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ORI
3 - 1
AVI
65%
17%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |