Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 6-1
Real Sociedad vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GET
2 - 2
RSO
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
RSO
50%
24%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
5 - 1
RSO
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
RSO
0 - 0
VIL
54%
24%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
RSO
2 - 0
ATH
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 0
CDG
77%
17%
6%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 2
RAC
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
AVI
0 - 2
RAC
9%
20%
71%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 1
ALM
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 1
MAR
78%
17%
6%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |