Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Real Sociedad vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
7.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1939 |
RCF
3 - 1
RSO
32%
22%
46%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
RSO
1 - 0
SDE
86%
9%
5%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1936 |
BAR
5 - 0
RSO
50%
21%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
RUN
2 - 1
RSO
50%
21%
30%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
RSO
2 - 1
BAR
73%
15%
13%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1939 |
RCF
3 - 1
RSO
32%
22%
46%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
RCF
1 - 0
BAR
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
RCF
1 - 2
CEL
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
VAD
4 - 0
RCF
82%
11%
7%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
RCF
0 - 0
DEP
32%
22%
45%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |