Real Sociedad vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
SEV
3 - 1
RSO
42%
28%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
RSO
1 - 0
ATH
48%
28%
24%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
OSA
1 - 2
RSO
43%
28%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
RSO
2 - 3
ATM
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
ZAR
3 - 1
RSO
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
HER
0 - 1
SPO
44%
30%
26%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
CEL
1 - 2
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
HER
0 - 3
RMA
21%
26%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
VAD
3 - 1
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
HER
1 - 1
CAD
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |