Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-4
Real Sociedad vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1948 |
GIM
2 - 3
RSO
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
RSO
2 - 0
SAB
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
ATZ
0 - 3
RSO
23%
21%
55%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
RSO
4 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ATM
4 - 3
RSO
81%
11%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1948 |
GIM
2 - 3
RSO
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
GIM
4 - 3
ALC
54%
20%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
OVI
6 - 2
GIM
65%
18%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
GIM
7 - 1
ATH
38%
23%
39%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
VCF
3 - 1
GIM
79%
12%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |