Europa League 1/32
Global 0-5
Real Sociedad vs Baník Ostrava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
CEL
1 - 0
RSO
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
RSO
3 - 2
FCB
35%
28%
36%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1974 |
RSO
0 - 2
UDL
63%
20%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1974 |
UDL
1 - 0
RSO
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
RSO
3 - 1
CAS
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
MAG
3 - 0
BAN
85%
10%
6%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
BAN
2 - 0
MAG
27%
23%
50%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
COR
1 - 2
BAN
22%
21%
57%
|
75 | 14 | 61 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
BAN
1 - 0
COR
86%
9%
5%
|
75 | 14 | 61 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1969 |
BAN
1 - 1
VIT
56%
20%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |