Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-3
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 1
RSO
73%
15%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
RSO
2 - 1
ORE
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
ORE
1 - 3
RSO
21%
21%
59%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
RSO
2 - 3
CAS
43%
22%
35%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
ATH
3 - 0
RSO
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 1
RSO
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 1
GIM
84%
10%
6%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
GIM
1 - 0
ESP
24%
22%
54%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 1
GIM
85%
10%
6%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
ESP
7 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |