Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 11-3
Real Sociedad vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1932 |
CAS
2 - 3
RSO
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
RSO
2 - 0
SEV
78%
13%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
SEV
3 - 2
RSO
40%
23%
37%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
RSO
5 - 2
ESP
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
RSO
0 - 1
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1932 |
CAS
2 - 3
RSO
37%
23%
40%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
MUR
3 - 2
CAS
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
CAS
3 - 0
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
CAS
3 - 0
SPO
44%
22%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
CAS
2 - 0
EUR
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |