Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 9-1
Real Sociedad vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
RSO
1 - 1
RAY
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1977 |
CDT
1 - 3
RSO
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 30 | 48 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
ELC
1 - 2
RSO
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
RSO
1 - 1
SPO
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
BUR
3 - 2
RSO
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
CDT
0 - 2
CIE
64%
19%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1977 |
CDT
1 - 3
RSO
29%
26%
45%
|
30 | 78 | 48 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
CDB
1 - 1
CDT
65%
20%
16%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
CDT
2 - 1
TCF
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CDT
72%
18%
11%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |