Real Sociedad vs Patria Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1928 |
RSO
5 - 1
ISC
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
EUR
0 - 1
RSO
26%
23%
51%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1928 |
RSO
4 - 1
RUN
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1928 |
FCB
4 - 1
RSO
74%
14%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
PAT
0 - 3
RSO
22%
23%
56%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Patria Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1928 |
PAT
2 - 3
EUR
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
PAT
1 - 3
FCB
17%
21%
63%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1928 |
ISC
4 - 1
PAT
77%
14%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1928 |
RUN
8 - 0
PAT
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
PAT
0 - 3
RSO
22%
23%
56%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |