Real Sociedad vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
RSO
1 - 0
ESP
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
RSO
2 - 3
RUN
68%
16%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
ATM
1 - 1
RSO
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
RSO
4 - 4
ARE
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
EUR
3 - 2
RSO
20%
18%
62%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
1 - 4
RMA
67%
18%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
ESP
4 - 0
FCB
39%
23%
37%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATH
73%
15%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
4 - 2
ATM
78%
13%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
RUN
1 - 3
FCB
33%
23%
44%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |