Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-2
Real Sociedad vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
ESP
0 - 0
RSO
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
RSO
4 - 0
SLA
67%
21%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
VCF
2 - 0
RSO
57%
23%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
RSO
2 - 0
CEL
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
RMA
3 - 2
RSO
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
RMA
4 - 2
ATM
60%
21%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
ATM
5 - 0
EXT
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
RAC
2 - 3
ATM
29%
25%
45%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
ATM
0 - 0
ZAR
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
BET
0 - 0
ATM
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |